特朗普的幻想落空,打臉來的太快 Donald Trump's illusions were shattered, and the slap in the face came too quickly.
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历史性的一幕发生了
特朗普上演了一出
极其荒诞的黑色幽默大戏
这次事件的精彩程度
甚至超过了以往任何一次
大家都知道 前几天特朗普搞了个大动作
派美军突袭委内瑞拉
把人家总统马杜罗
直接绑到了美国
当时特朗普站在聚光灯下
高调宣布 我们是为了石油
美国石油么司进场
马上就能为际创收
在他的剧本里 这是一场完美的胜利
' 我打下江山 你们石油巨头 带着钱来分蛋糕
大家一起发财 顺便把油价打下来
让我 赢麻了!'
但谁都没想到啊
仅仅几天后 这场精心准备的分赃大会
直接变成了一场
针对懂王本人的公开打脸
首先我们还原一下那个让特朗普尴尬到
脚趾抠地的现场
1月09号 特朗普兴冲冲的 把全美顶级的石油大佬召集到白宫
受邀名单里 竟然有25个高管 直接失联
{“你们不想去,就直接告诉我,因为我有25个人今天没来,但他们愿意取代你们的位置。”当着近20家石油公司高管的面,美国总统特朗普发出了一道近乎最后通牒的指令。这场发生在2026年1月9日白宫东厅的会议,原本是特朗普展示其委内瑞拉战略的重要舞台,他却意外遭遇了石油巨头们的集体沉默。}
连来都懒得来
这就是赤裸裸的打脸
在美国谁敢不给总统面子
但这些资本家就敢
特朗普在那画大饼 说委内瑞拉到处是油
你们只要投100亿美元
以后就能躺着数钱
结果全场鸦雀无声
连个咳嗽的都没有
最后美国最大的石油巨头 埃克森美孚的CEO伍兹 站起来冷冷的回了一句 足以载入史册的话.
"就当前这个情况 根本不可投资 " ("Given the current situation, it is absolutely not advisable to invest.")
有了带头的 其他巨头纷纷跟进
雪佛龙表示非常谨慎 : " 需慎重考虑一下 "
康菲石油直接哭穷说 没钱!
特朗普当场就急眼了 威胁说你们不干 有的是人干.
但狠话放完 现实是酷的
直到会议结束 没有一家公司承诺掏一分钱
看到这里 很多人可能不理解了
资本家不是最贪婪吗?
委内瑞拉那是世界第一的石油储量
这么大一块肥肉喂到嘴边
他们为什么不吃?
这就触及到了问题的核心了
也是我今天要讲的
1. 第一个深度逻辑
这不是投资 这是让巨头们扛风险
风险区
却把让美国再次伟大的 好名声
但这让美国再次伟大。但他却把“再次伟大”的美誉留给了自己。好名声留给自己.
大家都知道 特朗普是个地产商出身
我有资源 你出钱大家分.
他张嘴就要企业 投1000亿美元
是什么概念吗
我查了一下数据啊
2024年 美国排名前51的石油公司 从上到下累死累活 千了一整年
所有利润加起来共有九千六百亿美元(9600亿美元)。
特朗普不是让企业去投资 他是要让整个美国石油行业 把去年一整年的总利润 连本带利全新仕出来
把它扔进委内瑞拉的无底洞里。
康菲石油的CEO , 瑞安·兰斯, 为什么在现场一肚子苦水
他们在委内瑞拉砸了 120亿美元 投资了12亿美元
结果被查韦斯一句 但查韦斯将它们全部国有化了。
委内瑞拉前总统: “国有化” 全没收了
这就是资本的记忆
在这些精明的CEO眼里 特朗普的承诺一文不值
你懂王也就还能干三年 三年后 你下台了
下一任民主党上来 如果不认账怎么办
或者委内瑞拉那个 被你绑架了总统的国家
新上来的代理人又反水了
石油开采是重资产 回本周期长达十年
没有那个傻子会用自己未来十年的身家性命去赌你特朗普这三年的
在美国资本的逻辑是凌驾于政治意志之上的
哪怕你是总统 资本家也不给你懂王面子
2. 然后是第二个更深层的原因
彻底暴露了 美国治理能力的衰退
大家回想一下 以前美国打仗什么套路
先是CIA*做局, (*CIA*中央情报局是美国联邦政府的民事对外情报机构,其任务是通过收集和分析来自世界各地的情报以及开展秘密行动来增进国家安全。)然后美军平推, 最后扶持一个傀儡政府
紧接着美国的工程公司 石油公司进场
一条龙服务 吃干抹净
比如伊拉克战争 那就是典型的“成功案例”
但现在 呢简直就是一场闹剧
特朗普的操作 居然认为只需要几十亿美元
他在动手前 就能恢复产能
结果人抓回来了 专业的能源评估报告才出来 说基础设施损毁率70% 修好需要1100亿美元 耗时五到十年
美国现在的决策层 已经变成了一个巨大的草台班子
他们只剩下破坏 但已经丧失了建造能力。
以前美国能带着小弟 一起吃肉
现在美国是老大 自己想吃肉 却让小弟去割肉买单
谁还跟你玩 这种玩法
所以你看啊 这次会议谈崩之后
特朗普立马就怂了
1月9日当晚 他不得不宣布 取消对委内瑞拉的第二波军事打击
为什么 因为没人接盘啊
打下来也是个赔钱货 还得自己往里贴钱
这种亏本买卖 特朗普是绝对不干的
最搞笑的是 为了找补面子 他还暗示之前的行动是国务卿卢比奥为了报私仇
这一系列操作看下来 开始疯狂甩锅简直就是滑天下之大 也是最让我感到
细思极恐的一点 那就是既然正经生做不成 特朗普最后选了什么路
他选了海盗的路 他宣布进入国家紧急状态 下令去公海上 扣押委内瑞拉的油轮 把船上的油卖了 当成美国的收入
这哪里是让美国再次伟大 这简直就是索马里海盗的白宫分部啊
堂堂级大国 因为搞不定商业建设 最后沦落到要去每上 抢几船油来充数
这意味着什么 这意味着 为了那一点点通胀数据 为了那几千万桶石油库存 特朗普可以直接 撕碎国际法 甚至可以献祭掉自己国家的商业信誉
今天也能通过行政命令 黑掉本该赔给康菲石油的钱
明天他就能赖掉 全世界持有的美债
美国石油巨头今天的啪啪打脸 其实就是明天 全球资本大逃亡的预言 而一个依靠权力 去抢劫的攻府 是留不住真正的资本的 当白宫的圆桌会议结束 大佬们转身走出大门时 死死捂住了自己的钱包
那一刻 才是对让美国再次伟大 最亮的一记耳光
A historic scene took place. Trump staged a extremely absurd black humor drama. The excitement of this event exceeded any previous Hollywood blockbuster. Everyone knows that a few days ago, Trump made a big move. He sent the US military to raid Venezuela and took Venezuelan President Maduro and directly took him to the US.
At that time, Trump stood in the spotlight, he announced high-profile that "we were for oil."
We are after oil. American oil companies enter the market and immediately generate revenue for the country.
In his script, this was a perfect victory.
' I conquered the country, you oil giants will come with money to share the cake. Everyone will get rich and by the way bring down oil prices as well.
Let me win until I'm numb.'
But no one expected that only a few days later, this carefully prepared distribution of spoils meeting turned into a public slap in the face of Trump himself.
First, let's reconstruct... that embarrassed Trump. The scene of toes digging into the ground.
First, let's restore the scene that made Trump embarrassed to the point of digging his toes.
On January ninth (9th), Trump excitedly summoned the top oil tycoons in the United States to the White House. But on the list of invitations, twenty-five (25) executives were missing.
{"If you don't want to go, just tell me, because I have 25 people who aren't here today, but they're willing to take your places." In front of nearly 20 oil company executives, US President Trump issued what was almost an ultimatum. This meeting, scheduled for January 9, 2026, in the East Room of the White House, was supposed to be a crucial stage for Trump to showcase his Venezuela strategy, but he was unexpectedly met with a collective silence from the oil giants.}
They didn't even bother to come. (too lazy to even come.)
This is a blatant slap in the face.
In the United States, who dares to disrespect the president? (Who in America dares to disrespect the president?)
But these capitalists dared to do so.
Trump was making (empty) promises, saying that Venezuela is full of oil, you only need to invest US$10 billion, as long as you invest one hundred billion dollars, and you can count money lying down. (Later on, can lie down and count money.)
But the audience was silent, (The entire audience fell silent.) not even a cough. (Not even one coughed.)
Finally, the largest American oil giant, the CEO of Exxon Mobil, Darren Wayne Woods,
(Finally, the largest oil giant in the United State, ExxonMobil CEO, Darren Wayne Woods )
He stood up and coldly replied...a word that would go down in history. (Words worthy of being recorded in history)
"In the current situation, it was not worth investing."
With the lead, other giants followed suit.
Chevron expressed extreme caution. "You need to think about it carefully." Michael K. (Mike) Wirth~ CEO of Chevron was very cautious.
Conoco Phillips said it had no money.
ConocoPhillips directly cried poor and said it had no money.
Trump got angry on the spot, (Trump immediately became furious.) threatening that if they don't do it, (Threatening that you won't do it) there are others will do it.
But after the threats, (But after saying those harsh words) the reality was cruel.(Reality is cool.)
Until the end of the meeting, no company promised to pay a penny. (No company promised to pay a single penny.)
Seeing this , many people may not understand.
Aren't capitalists the most greedy?
What about Venezuela?
Venezuela has the world's largest oil reserves.
With such a big piece of fat in front of them, Such a big piece of fatty meat was fed to the mouth ...why don't they eat it?
This touches on the core of the problem. (This gets to the heart of the problem.)
Which is also what I want to talk about today.
1. The first deep logic.
This is not an investment. This is about letting the giants bear the risks. It's to let the giants take the risk, But it made America great again. But leaving the good reputation great again to himself. Keep a good reputation for yourself. For themselves.
Everyone knows that Trump is a real estate developer.
It is simple. I have resources. You contribute the money, and we share the profits.
He immediately asked for businesses. He asked companies to invest one hundred billion dollars.
What does that mean? What it means?
I checked the data.
In year twenty twenty-four, the top fifty-one (51) oil companies in the United States from top to bottom, worked hard all year long. All profits added up to nine hundred sixty ($960) billion dollars.
Trump is not asking companies to invest, (Trump is not getting businesses to invest.) He wants the entire US oil industry to recoup all of last year's profits, including principal and interest. And throw it into the bottomless pit of Venezuela.
The CEO of ConocoPhillips, Ryan Lance, why did he complain so much at the scene? (Why was he so full of grievances at the scene?)
They smashed it in Venezuela, invested one point two ($1.2) billion dollars, but Chavez nationalized it all.
As a result, Former President of Venezuela, Chavez said.."Nationalization" and all confiscated.
This is the memory of capitalists. In the eyes of these shrewd CEOS, Trump's promises are worthless.
You. the King of Fool, can only do it for three years. (You, Trump, can only serve for another three years.)
After three years, you will step down. (Three years later, you stepped down.)
The next Democrat comes to power. (The next Democratic Party leader) What if he doesn't recognize it? (What if they refuse to acknowledge it?)
Or Venezuela, (Or the one from Venezuela) the country whose president you kidnapped, the new agent has turned against you. (The newly appointed agent has turned against us again.)
What if oil extraction is a heavy asset (Oil extraction is a capital-intensive industry.) with a ten-year payback period.(The payback period can be as long as ten years.)
No one is foolish enough to gamble their future ten years' fortune and their life on Trump's next three years.
In the United States, the logic of capital overrides political will. ( The capital Logic is above political will.)
Even if you are the president, capitalists will not give you face. (Even if you're the president, capitalists won't give you, Trump, any face.)
2. Then there is a second deeper reason.
Trump has completely exposed the decline of the United States' governance capacity. (This completely exposes the decline in America's governance capabilities.)
Let's think back. What was the pattern of US wars in the past? (What were the common tactics the US used in wars?)
First, the CIA* set up a trap, (*Central Intelligence Agency is a civilian foreign intelligence service of the federal government of the United States tasked with advancing national security through collecting and analyzing intelligence from around the world and conducting covert operations.) then the US military pushed forward, and finally, a puppet government was supported. (Finally, they supported a puppet government.) Then American engineering companies and oil companies to enter the scene. (Following this, American engineering and oil companies entered the site) And provide a one-stop service (One-stop service) and then they made a profit. (Eat it all)
For example, the Iraq War, was a typical success case. (For example, the Iraq War is a typical "success story" for USA)
But now, it's just a farce. Trump's operation is simply (Trump's actions), he thought it only needed a few billion dollars. (Trump's approach actually suggests that only a few billion dollars are needed.)
Before he took action, to restore production capacity. (He can restore production capacity before he takes action.)
But after the arrest, (The president of Venezuela was caught) but only after the professional energy assessment report came out, Saying that the damage rate of infrastructure is seventy percent. (A professional energy assessment report has just been released, stating that 70% of the infrastructure is damaged) Costing one hundred and ten billion dollars. (and repairs will cost $110 billion) and take five to ten years.
(The current decision-making level in the United States) The current decision-making body in the United States has become a huge makeshift team.
They only have the ability to a destroy, (All they have left is destruction) but have lost the ability to build.
Previously, the US could lead its followers to share the meat, (Previously, the United States could lead its smaller allies) (In the past, America could share meat with its little brothers.) but now the US is the boss. (The United States is now the leader.) It wants to eat meat, but let its younger brothers pay for it. (The US is the big boss now, wanting to eat meat but making its little brothers cut the pieces and pay the bill.)
Who will play with you? (Who would still play with you?) With this kind of play. (Who would want to play this kind of game with you?)
So you see, after the meeting broke down.
Trump immediately backed down.
On the night of January ninth, he had to announce that to cancel the second wave of military strikes.(On the evening of January 9, he was forced to announce the cancellation of the second wave of military strikes against Venezuela.)
Why? Because no one took over. (Why? Because nobody's willing to take over.)
It would be a loss even if he took it, (Even if take/fight it down, it'll be a money-losing proposition.) and he has to pay for it himself. (Even if you manage to take it down, it's a money-losing proposition; you'll have to pay out of your own pocket.)
Such a loss-making business, (This kind of unprofitable business) Trump would never do that. (Trump would absolutely not do something that loses him money.)
The funniest thing is that to save face, he also implied that the previous actions were Secretary of State Rubio did it for a personal revenge. (The funniest part is that, in an attempt to save face, he even implied that the previous actions were orchestrated by Secretary of State Rubio to settle a personal score.)
These series of operations began to frantically pass the buck is simply ridiculous. (This series of actions of frantic attempt to shift blame, is simply outrageous.) That's what I felt the most.
Finally, what makes me feel terrifying is that (One chilling point to think about) the complete collapse of US credit. Since serious business couldn't be done, (That is, since it's impossible to be a proper means...) what path did Trump ultimately choose?
He chose the path of a pirate. (He chose the pirate's path.) He declared a national emergency. (He declared a state of emergency.) And ordered to the high seas, (Order to go to the high seas) he seized Venezuelan cruise ships (Venezuelan oil tanker seized) (Orders were given to seize Venezuelan oil tankers on the high seas) and sold the oil on board as the income of the United States. (The order was given to seize the Venezuelan oil tanker on the high seas, as the US was profiting from the sale of its oil.)
This is not about making America great again. This is simply it's like a Somali pirate's White House. (This is practically a branch of the White House of Somali pirates!)
A dignified superpower (A great power) because it can't handle commercial construction, it finally ended up it has to rob some oil from the sea. (Because they couldn't manage commercial development, they ended up having to rob a few ships of oil each time they arrived to make up the numbers.)
What does this mean? This means that for a little inflation data, and tens of millions of barrels of oil reserves, (For that little bit of inflation data, for those tens of millions of barrels of oil inventory...) Trump can directly tear up international law and even limit its own country's commercial credibility. (What does this mean? It means that for a tiny bit of inflation data, for a few tens of millions of barrels of oil reserves, Trump is willing to tear up international law and even sacrifice his own country's commercial reputation.)
Today, he can use executive orders to withhold the moneythat should be paid to ConocoPhillips. (Today, even an executive order can be used to embezzle money that should have been paid to Conoco Phillips.)
Tomorrow, he can default (He can renege on his promise tomorrow.) the US bonds held by the world. (He could default on all the US debt held by the world tomorrow.)
American oil giants' the slap in the face on Trump today, (The U.S. oil giant's embarrassing moment today.) is actually a prophecy, (The embarrassing slap in the face that American oil giants are making today is just the beginning for tomorrow.) a prediction of global capital flight.
Because everyone has seen clearly that in the United States, credit is no longer currency, but power. And a government that relies on power to rob is a government cannot retain the real capital. When the roundtable meeting at the White House ended, when the bigwigs turned around and walked out the door, they tightly held their wallets. At that moment was the loudest slap in the face of Donald Trump.
(Today's humiliating defeat for American oil giants is actually a prophecy of tomorrow's global capital flight. A government that relies on power to plunder cannot retain real capital. When the White House roundtable ended and the bigwigs turned to leave, they clutched their wallets tightly.
That moment was the most scathing slap in the face to the cause of "Making America Great Again.")
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