Monday, June 30, 2025

BYD China

 BYD is China’s EV champion—but is it hiding a financial crisis beneath the surface? In this episode, we break down a powerful analysis that uses BYD’s own financial data to expose how the company buried over 125 billion yuan in hidden costs, delayed supplier payments, and manufactured the illusion of profitability. Despite claiming massive profits, BYD is operating on a zero-profit model just to crush competitors. With working capital deeply in the red, its survival hinges on relentless sales growth. This is the untold story behind BYD’s success—and why it may be far more fragile than it looks.


BYD 2024 Financial Data 

•Total revenue: ¥777.1 billion 

Revenue from car sales: ¥533.3 billion (68.2% of total revenue) 

• Cars sold in 2024: 4.27 million 

Each auto brought in ¥124,900 in revenue in 2024. 

No Wonder Warren Buffet started dumping BYD shares in 2022 just as BYD started cooking the books! He probably checked with BYD suppliers, saw the red flag and got the hell out of Dodge City. 

BYD 2024 Financial Data 

• Revenue from Auto + Parts: ¥617.4 billion 

• Revenue from Auto: ¥533.3 billion 

(86.4%) 

• Prod cost of Auto + Parts: ¥479.7 billion 

Prod cost of Auto: $414.4 billion 

(86.4%) 

• Cars sold in 2024: 4.27 million 

Production cost per auto in 2024: ¥97,000

BYD 2024 Financial Data 

·BYD paid 52.7 billion yuan in taxes 

·Assuming taxes are spread in the same weight (68.2%) 

taxes related to car sales = 

52.7 billion x 68.2% = 35.9 billion yuan 

Cars sold in 2024: 4.27 million 

Each auto paid ¥8,400 in taxes in 2024.

BYD 2024 Financial Data 

Revenue per auto : ¥124,900 

Production cost per auto: (¥97,000) 

Taxes per auto: (¥8,400) 

Profit before overhead: ¥19,500 

15.6% Profit Margin before Overhead 


Sunday, June 29, 2025

EXTENDED MIND

There Is More to Us Than Just Our Brains

THE EXTENDED MIND

The Power of Thinking Outside the Brain

By Annie Murphy Paul


In “My Octopus Teacher,” this year’s Oscar-winning documentary, the filmmaker and narrator Craig Foster tells us that two-thirds of his new octopus friend’s cognition is in her arms. It’s an astonishing revelation, especially as we soon see a pyjama shark swim off with one of her still-waving tentacles in its jaws. But no problem! The octopus still has her central brain, not to mention seven other arms at her disposal, and in a metaphorical sense, so do we humans.


That’s the theme of Annie Murphy Paul’s new book, “The Extended Mind,” which exhorts us to use our entire bodies, our surroundings and our relationships to “think outside the brain.”


First, though, we have to stop thinking of the three-pound lump inside our skulls as the only cognitive show in town. We are not solo actors, stranded alone in the cosmos — forced to rely only on what’s in our heads to think, remember and solve problems — even if the pandemic has made us feel that way. Rather, we’re networked organisms who move around in shifting surroundings, environments that have the power to transform our thinking, Paul writes.


We get constant messages about what’s going on inside our bodies, sensations we can either attend to or ignore. And we belong to tribes that cosset and guide us. Still, we “insist that the brain is the sole locus of thinking, a cordoned-off space where cognition happens, much as the workings of my laptop are sealed inside its aluminum case,” Paul writes. Paul’s view is that we are less like data processing machines and more like soft-bodied mollusks, picking up cues from within and without and transforming ourselves accordingly.


To be clear, the octopus metaphor is mine, not the author’s. But the way these creatures camouflage themselves in a kelp forest and distribute their intelligence among multiple limbs made me think of Paul’s main question, inspired by a 1995 essay from the philosophers Andy Clark and David Chalmers: “Where does the mind stop and the rest of the world begin?”


This is not a new quandary for the author, a New Haven-based science writer. In 2011, she published “Origins,” which focused on all the ways we are shaped by the environment, before birth and minute to minute thereafter. Jerome Groopman summarized her thesis thus in his review of the book for this paper: “In the nature-nurture dynamic, nurture begins at the time of conception. The food the mother eats, the air she breathes, the water she drinks, the stress or trauma she experiences — all may affect her child for better or worse, over the decades to come.”


This could be a prescription for nonstop anxiety for the nine months of pregnancy, or it could just be a down-to-earth take on the science of epigenetics — how environmental signals become catalysts for gene expression. Either way, the parallel to this latest book is that the boundaries we commonly assume to be fixed are actually squishy. The moment of a child’s birth, her I.Q. scores or fMRI snapshots of what’s going on inside her brain — all are encroached upon and influenced by outside forces.


In the new book’s first section, “Thinking With Our Bodies,” Paul argues that an awareness of our internal signals, such as exactly when our hearts beat, or how cold and clammy our hands are, can boost our performance at the poker table or in the financial markets, and even improve our pillow talk. Wouldn’t it be handy to know the precise moment your heart starts going bumpity-bump? The awareness of that SOS from body to brain is called interoception, and apparently some of us are better interoceptors than others. “Though we typically think of the brain as telling the body what to do, just as much does the body guide the brain with an array of subtle nudges and prods. One psychologist has called this guide our ‘somatic rudder,’” Paul writes — a phrase so evocative I underlined it twice.


Though the workings of the body’s plumbing and electricity usually fly under our radar, Paul is on target when stating that techniques that help us pinpoint their signals can foster well-being and even alter certain cortical features. The “body scan” aspect of mindfulness meditation that has been deployed by the behavioral medicine pioneer Jon Kabat-Zinn may help people lower their heart rates and blood pressure, for example, while the German neuroscientist Tania Singer has shown how the neural circuitry underlying compassion is strengthened by meditation practice.


Paul writes with precision and flair. But she leaves out evidence that could add yet more nuance. One example: Lie detector tests, known as polygraphs, presuppose that we think with our bodies, that guided by our somatic rudders the truth will out. Spikes in heart rate and blood pressure are interpreted as signs of deception, which is why polygraphs pop up so often in police procedurals, the odd courtroom and even job screenings. One problem: Most psychologists think polygraphs are bunk. Paul might have explained why bodily signs are so unreliable in these contexts yet instructive — even therapeutic — in others.


Similarly, in a chapter about embodied cognition, which lays out the impact of gestures on thinking, feeling and memory, Paul writes that our thoughts “are powerfully shaped by the way we move our bodies.” Gestures help us understand spatial concepts; indeed, “without gesture as an aid, students may fail to understand spatial ideas at all,” Paul asserts. They enhance our memory, verbal fluency and the ability to grasp new ideas. Multiple studies are quoted. Yet two famous forays into embodied cognition — a study showing that a pencil clenched between the teeth contracts the muscles typically associated with smiling, thus making the subjects feel pleasure, and another on “power posing,” showing that striking a victory pose fosters self-confidence and even alters our hormone levels — do not make a cameo here. Why not? My guess is because Paul knows they largely failed to be replicated, meaning other researchers who repeated their experiments didn’t get the same results. The ensuing controversies have filled the pages of popular magazines. By sidestepping these studies, Paul leaves the reader to wonder about the solidity of the evidence she does present.


These are quibbles. The chapters on the ways natural and built spaces reflect universal preferences and enhance the thinking process felt like a respite. “More than half of Earth’s humans now live in cities, and by 2050 that figure is predicted to reach almost 70 percent,” Paul writes, noting nonetheless that looking out on grassy expanses near loose clumps of trees and a source of water helps us solve problems. “Passive attention,” she writes, is “effortless: diffuse and unfocused, it floats from object to object, topic to topic. This is the kind of attention evoked by nature, with its murmuring sounds and fluid motions; psychologists working in the tradition of James call this state of mind ‘soft fascination.’”


City dweller that I am, these passages were a pleasure to read and they rang true to me, as did Paul’s discussion of “socially distributed cognition” — how people think with the minds of others. If imitating experts and working in synchrony can offload some cognitive burden and ease my overextended mind, then I’m a convert.


Susan Pinker is a psychologist whose most recent book is “The Village Effect: How Face-to-Face Contact Can Make Us Healthier and Happier.”


THE EXTENDED MIND

The Power of Thinking Outside the Brain

By Annie Murphy Paul

338 pp. Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. $28.

Annie Murphy PaulCredit...

She Isn't Giving Up on Love

She who has been married four times, reflects on her past relationships from her home in Sag Harbor, N.Y. “Everything I’ve been through, all the pain, the stupidity, I would do it again because I believe in love,” she said.

Grit 砂砾 Shālì

Grit is passion and perseverance for very long-term goals. 

Grit is having stamina. 

Grit is sticking with your future, day in, day out, not just for the week, not just for the month, but for years, and working really hard to make that future a reality. 

Grit is living life like it's a marathon, not a sprint.

Four pillars that make up grit: 

interest; practice; purpose; hope.

Courage and resolve; strength of character.

How do you develop grit?

1. Find your passion. Passion is the foundation of grit. ...

2. Practice. Talent will only get you so far. ...

3. Contribute to a greater purpose. When you feel a sense of purpose, it helps you develop more grit. ...

4. Give yourself time. ...

5. Immerse yourself in gritty culture.


Grit matters. How do we grow it?

Grit—it’s a buzz word. Who doesn’t want to have it? But what exactly is it and how do we get it? We read Angela Duckworth’s book, Grit: The Power of Passion and Perseverance, and summarized our take-aways for you. 


What is grit and why does it matter?

Grit is “passion and perseverance for long-term and meaningful goals.” It is important because it’s a key driver of achievement and success—and it is far more important than talent and IQ!  


Studies have shown that deep down, most of us believe talent is the main reason for success. Does that mean that there isn’t a need for us “normal people” to aspire to be great? Not if you asked Nietzsche: “For if we think of genius as something magical, we are not obliged to compare ourselves and find ourselves lacking…” In fact, when it comes to how we fare in the marathon of life, it’s effort that trumps everything else. 


How can you grow your grit? 


1. Clarify your goals

The grittiest people are crystal-clear about their ultimate goal, and most of their smaller goals align with that goal. Duckworth suggests Warren Buffet’s three-step process to unify your goals: 


Write down a list of 25 career goals. (Yes, you might have that many!) 

Circle the five highest priority goals. (Soul-searching needed for this step.)

Look at the remaining 20 goals. Which are in support of your highest five goals? All the other goals: Avoid them at all costs. They distract you.

2. Discover your interests

Interest is the source of passion. In fact, people are more satisfied with their jobs when they do something that fits their personal interest. But often it takes time to discover your interests. (That oncologist who said she wanted to cure cancer when she was in third grade is an exception!) Take time for your own discovery: What do you like to think about? What do you really care about? What matters most to you? 


3. Practice deliberately

People who are gritty simply spend more time on tasks. A LOT MORE TIME on tasks. Also, they practice deliberately, which means their practice is characterized by:


A clearly defined stretch goal

Full concentration and effort

Immediate and informative feedback

Repetition with reflection and refinement 

4. Know your purpose.

You know the spark inside of you when you’re passionate about something? That is the beginning of purpose. Whatever your passion is, ask yourself how it connects to other people, how it connects to the bigger picture, and how it is an expression of your deepest values. How will it contribute to the well-being of others? Gritty people keep going because they know their purpose.  


5. Practice optimistic self-talk

Henry Ford wrote, “Whether you think you can, or you think you can’t – you’re right.” A lot of what you attempt depends on your mindset. Practicing a growth mindset is important so you keep going when things are tough. 


In addition, pay attention to your self-talk: People say 300 to 1000 words to themselves per minute. Olympic athletes agree that those words need to be positive! 


6. Join a gritty culture

The culture we live in and identify with powerfully shapes just about every aspect of our being. If you want to be grittier, find a gritty culture and join it. The hard way is to do it by yourself. For example, I swim on the Ann Arbor Master’s Swim team which requires getting up at 5 AM and swimming 3,000-4,000 yards per practice. Would I do it alone? Never! But when there are 40 others showing up before dawn, it seems like the most normal thing to do!  


Final tips for parents

Are you a parent? Try the Duckworth’s family Hard Thing Rule: Everyone—including the parents—has to do a hard thing that requires daily practice. What’s best for kids is a structured non-curricular activity: An adult is in charge (ideally they are supportive and demanding), and the pursuits are designed to cultivate interest, practice, purpose, and hope.


Grits 

↑ 

Synonyms 

gumption 

guts 

spunk 

bottle 

courage 

courageousness 

bravery 

pluck 

mettle 

mettlesomeness 

backbone 

spirit 

strength of character 

strength of will 

moral fiber 

steel 

nerve 

gameness 

valor 

fortitude 

toughness 

hardiness 

resolve 

determination 

resolution 

stamina 

doggedness 

tenacity 

perseverance 

endurance





人每天都很累,所以叫人类.

 人每天都很累,所以叫人类. 

Rén měitiān dū hěn lèi, suǒyǐ jiào rénlèi

(Traditional): 人每天都很累,所以叫人類.

• People are tired every day, that's why they are called human beings.


1. 人活得太累 Rén huó dé tài lèi • Life is too tiring

所以叫人类 Suǒyǐ jiào rénlèi • So it's called human

人活得太累 (類)

所以叫人类

Rén huó dé tài lèi 

suǒyǐ jiào rénlèi

People live too hard, so they are called human beings


2. 人每天都很烦 Rén měitiān dū hěn fán • People frequently

 所以叫烦人 Suǒyǐ jiào fánrén • So it's annoying

人每天都很烦 

 所以叫烦人 

Rén měitiān dū hěn fán 

 suǒyǐ jiào fánrén 

• People are annoying every day. That’s why they are annoying.


3. 一生都要干活 Yīshēng dōu yào gàn huó • Whole life have to work

所以叫生活 Suǒyǐ jiào shēnghuó • So it's called life

一生都要干活  所以叫生活 Yīshēng dōu yào gàn huó  suǒyǐ jiào shēnghuó •  have to work all our lives, so it’s called life


4. 放个假跟欺骗一样  Fàng gè jiǎ gēn qīpiàn yīyàng • Taking a vacation is like cheating.

所以叫假期 Suǒyǐ jiào jiàqī • So it's called vacation

放个假跟欺骗一样  

所以叫假期

Fàng gè jiǎ gēn qīpiàn yīyàng  

suǒyǐ jiào jiàqī

•Taking a vacation is like cheating. That’s why it’s called a vacation.


5. 因为学过的东西 Yīn wéi xuéguò de dōngxī • Because of what I have learned

还是觉得很陌生 Háishì juédé hěn mòshēng • still feels strange

所以叫学生 Suǒyǐ jiào xuéshēng • So call students

因为学过的东西 

还是觉得很陌生 

所以叫学生

Yīn wéi xuéguò de dōngxī 

háishì juédé hěn mòshēng 

suǒyǐ jiào xuéshēng

•Because the things I have learned are still unfamiliar to me, so I call them students.

 因为学过的东西 还是觉得很陌生 所以叫学生 Yīn wéi xuéguò de dōngxī háishì juédé hěn mòshēng suǒyǐ jiào xuéshēng • Because what I have learned still feels very unfamiliar, so I was called student


6. 因为努力 Yīnwèi nǔlì

是一个奴出两份力 shì yīgè nú chū liǎng fèn lì

•Because of hard work, 

A slave does double the work

所以很累 Suǒyǐ hěn lèi • so very tired

因为努力 

是一个奴出两份力 

所以很

Yīnwèi nǔlì 

shì yīgè nú chū liǎng fèn lì 

suǒyǐ hěn lèi

•Because of the effort, a slave doing twice the work, so very tired.


7. 因为我总是笑着说话 Yīnwèi wǒ zǒng shì xiàozhe shuōhuà • Because I always smile/laugh when I talk

所以我就是个笑话 Suǒyǐ wǒ jiùshì gè xiàohuà • So I'm a joke

因为我总是笑着说话 

所以我就是个笑话 

Yīnwèi wǒ zǒng shì xiàozhe shuōhuà 

suǒyǐ wǒ jiùshì gè xiàohuà 

•Because I always talk with a smile, so I am a joke.



Wars and results

 History remembers wars. But it often forgets the pain that hides behind victory. The consequences of war only leaves behind a bitter taste. • 歴史は戦争を記憶する。しかし、勝利の裏に潜む痛みはしばしば忘れ去られる。戦争の結果は、苦い後味だけを残す。Rekishi wa sensō o kioku suru. Shikashi, shōri no ura ni hisomu itami wa shibashiba wasuresara reru. Sensō no kekka wa, nigai atoaji dake o nokosu. • L'histoire se souvient des guerres. Mais elle oublie souvent la douleur qui se cache derrière la victoire. Les conséquences de la guerre ne laissent qu'un goût amer. • 历史铭记战争,却常常忘记胜利背后隐藏的伤痛,战争的后果只会留下苦涩的滋味。 Lìshǐ míngjì zhànzhēng, què chángcháng wàngjì shènglì bèihòu yǐncáng de shāng tòng, zhànzhēng de hòuguǒ zhǐ huì liú xià kǔsè de zīwèi. •  История помнит войны. Но часто забывает боль, что скрывается за победой. Последствия войны оставляют после себя лишь горький привкус.  Istoriya pomnit voyny. No chasto zabyvayet bol', chto skryvayetsya za pobedoy. Posledstviya voyny ostavlyayut posle sebya lish' gor'kiy privkus. • Історія пам'ятає війни. Але вона часто забуває біль, який ховається за перемогою. Наслідки війни залишають після себе лише гіркий присмак. Istoriya pam'yataye viyny. Ale vona chasto zabuvaye bilʹ, yakyy khovayetʹsya za peremohoyu. Naslidky viyny zalyshayutʹ pislya sebe lyshe hirkyy prysmak.• A história lembra das guerras. Mas muitas vezes esquece a dor que se esconde por trás da vitória. As consequências da guerra deixam apenas um gosto amargo. • La historia recuerda las guerras. Pero a menudo olvida el dolor que se esconde tras la victoria. Las consecuencias de la guerra solo dejan un sabor amargo. • Historio memoras militojn. Sed ĝi ofte forgesas la doloron, kiu kaŝiĝas malantaŭ venko. La sekvoj de milito lasas nur maldolĉan guston. • Die Geschichte erinnert sich an Kriege. Doch sie vergisst oft den Schmerz, der sich hinter dem Sieg verbirgt. Die Folgen des Krieges hinterlassen nur einen bitteren Nachgeschmack. • 역사는 전쟁을 기억합니다. 하지만 승리 뒤에 숨겨진 고통은 종종 잊히곤 합니다. 전쟁의 결과는 씁쓸한 맛만 남깁니다. yeogsaneun jeonjaeng-eul gieoghabnida. hajiman seungli dwie sumgyeojin gotong-eun jongjong ijhigon habnida. jeonjaeng-ui gyeolgwaneun sseubsseulhan masman namgibnida. •  வரலாறு போர்களை நினைவில் கொள்கிறது. ஆனால் அது பெரும்பாலும் வெற்றிக்குப் பின்னால் மறைந்திருக்கும் வலியை மறந்துவிடுகிறது. போரின் விளைவுகள் கசப்பான சுவையை மட்டுமே விட்டுச் செல்கின்றன.  Varalāṟu pōrkaḷai niṉaivil koḷkiṟatu. Āṉāl atu perumpālum veṟṟikkup piṉṉāl maṟaintirukkum valiyai maṟantuviṭukiṟatu. Pōriṉ viḷaivukaḷ kacappāṉa cuvaiyai maṭṭumē viṭṭuc celkiṉṟaṉa. • ਇਤਿਹਾਸ ਜੰਗਾਂ ਨੂੰ ਯਾਦ ਰੱਖਦਾ ਹੈ। ਪਰ ਇਹ ਅਕਸਰ ਜਿੱਤ ਦੇ ਪਿੱਛੇ ਛੁਪੇ ਦਰਦ ਨੂੰ ਭੁੱਲ ਜਾਂਦਾ ਹੈ। ਜੰਗ ਦੇ ਨਤੀਜੇ ਸਿਰਫ਼ ਇੱਕ ਕੌੜਾ ਸੁਆਦ ਛੱਡ ਜਾਂਦੇ ਹਨ। Itihāsa jagāṁ nū yāda rakhadā hai. Para iha akasara jita dē pichē chupē darada nū bhula jāndā hai. Jaga dē natījē sirafa ika kauṛā su'āda chaḍa jāndē hana. •   تاریخ جنگاں نو یاد کردی اے۔ پر ایہہ اکثر اوہ درد بھل جاندا اے جہڑا جت دے پچھے لُکیا ہویا اے۔ جنگ دے نتائج صرف اک تلخ ذائقہ چھڈ جاندے نیں۔ 

  Tạry̰kẖ jngạ◌̃ nw y̰ạd ḵrdy̰ ạai. Pr ạy̰ḥḥ ạḵtẖr ạwḥ drd bʱl jạndạ ạai jḥṛạ jt dai pcẖʱai luḵy̰ạ ḥwy̰ạ ạai. Jng dai ntạỷj ṣrf ạḵ tlkẖ dẖạỷqḥ cẖʱḍ jạndai ny̰◌̃. • يتذكر التاريخ الحروب. لكنه غالبًا ما ينسى الألم الكامن وراء النصر. عواقب الحرب لا تترك وراءها سوى مرارة.  yatadhakar altaarikh alhurubi. lakinah ghalban ma yansaa al'alam alkamin wara' alnasr. eawaqib alharb la tatruk wara'aha siwaa mararatin.

• Sejarah mengingat perang. Namun, sejarah sering kali melupakan rasa sakit yang tersembunyi di balik kemenangan. Konsekuensi perang hanya meninggalkan rasa pahit. •    Sejarah mengingati peperangan. Tetapi ia sering melupakan kesakitan yang berselindung di sebalik kemenangan. Akibat peperangan hanya meninggalkan rasa pahit. •   Malay (Jawi) سجاره مڠيڠاتي ڤراڠ. تتاڤي اي سريڠ كالي ملوڤاكن راس ساكيت يڠ ترسمبوڽي د بلاكڠ كمناڠن. عقيبة ڤڤراڠن هاڽ منيڠڬلكن راس ڤاهيت. • Bengali    ইতিহাস যুদ্ধের কথা মনে রাখে। কিন্তু প্রায়শই বিজয়ের আড়ালে লুকিয়ে থাকা যন্ত্রণা ভুলে যায়। যুদ্ধের পরিণতি কেবল তিক্ত স্বাদই রেখে যায়। Itihāsa yud'dhēra kathā manē rākhē. Kintu prāẏaśa'i bijaẏēra āṛālē lukiẏē thākā yantraṇā bhulē yāẏa. Yud'dhēra pariṇati kēbala tikta sbāda'i rēkhē yāẏa. • Historia pamięta wojny. Ale często zapomina o bólu, który kryje się za zwycięstwem. Konsekwencje wojny pozostawiają po sobie jedynie gorzki smak. • 

Countries that have never been to war include Switzerland, Iceland, Costa Rica, Liechtenstein, Vatican City, San Marino, and Vanuatu. These nations have maintained policies of neutrality or have avoided military conflicts throughout their histories. • Latin, Inter civitates quae numquam bellum gesserunt sunt Helvetia, Islandia, Costa Rica, Liechtenstein, Urbs Vaticana, Sanctus Marinus, et Vanuatu. Hae nationes per historiam suam aut politicas neutralitatis servaverunt aut bella militaria vitaverunt. • Swedish, Länder som aldrig har varit i krig inkluderar Schweiz, Island, Costa Rica, Liechtenstein, Vatikanstaten, San Marino och Vanuatu. Dessa nationer har upprätthållit neutralitetspolitik eller undvikit militära konflikter genom hela sin historia. •  Italian, Tra i paesi che non sono mai stati coinvolti in una guerra figurano Svizzera, Islanda, Costa Rica, Liechtenstein, Città del Vaticano, San Marino e Vanuatu. Queste nazioni hanno mantenuto politiche di neutralità o hanno evitato conflitti militari nel corso della loro storia. • Romanian, Printre țările care nu au fost niciodată în război se numără Elveția, Islanda, Costa Rica, Liechtenstein, Vatican, San Marino și Vanuatu. Aceste națiuni au menținut politici de neutralitate sau au evitat conflictele militare de-a lungul istoriei lor. • Romani, E thema save nisar na sas ando maripe si i Švajcarija, i Islandia, i Kosta Rika, o Liechtenstein, o foro Vatikan, o San Marino thaj o Vanuatu. Kadala thema inkerde politike neutralitetosqe vaj naśti te len militaro marimata anθ-i sasti lenqi història. • Irish Gaelic, I measc na dtíortha nár chuaigh riamh i gcogadh tá an Eilvéis, an Íoslainn, Cósta Ríce, Lichtinstéin, Cathair na Vatacáine, San Mairíne, agus Vanuatú. Tá beartais neodrachta coinnithe ag na náisiúin seo nó tá coinbhleachtaí míleata seachanta acu ar feadh a staire. • Danish, Lande, der aldrig har været i krig, inkluderer Schweiz, Island, Costa Rica, Liechtenstein, Vatikanstaten, San Marino og Vanuatu. Disse nationer har opretholdt neutralitetspolitikker eller har undgået militære konflikter gennem hele deres historie. • Icelandic, Lönd sem aldrei hafa verið í stríði eru meðal annars Sviss, Ísland, Kosta Ríka, Liechtenstein, Vatíkanið, San Marínó og Vanúatú. Þessar þjóðir hafa viðhaldið hlutleysisstefnu eða forðast hernaðarátök alla sína sögu. • 

Norwegian, Land som aldri har vært i krig inkluderer Sveits, Island, Costa Rica, Liechtenstein, Vatikanstaten, San Marino og Vanuatu. Disse nasjonene har opprettholdt nøytralitetspolitikk eller har unngått militære konflikter gjennom hele historien. • Spanish, Entre los países que nunca han estado en guerra se encuentran Suiza, Islandia, Costa Rica, Liechtenstein, la Ciudad del Vaticano, San Marino y Vanuatu. Estas naciones han mantenido políticas de neutralidad o han evitado conflictos militares a lo largo de su historia. • 

Discoveries in humans, by human , for humans

  "Emotions must be managed with strength, not with threats." •“管理情绪必须用力量,而不是威胁。”“Guǎnlǐ qíngxù bìxū yòng lìliàng, ér bùshì wēixié.”• « Les émotions doivent être gérées avec force, pas avec des menaces. » • 「感情は脅しではなく、強さでコントロールされなければならない。」`Kanjō wa odoshide wa naku, tsuyo-sa de kontorōru sa renakereba naranai.' • 


Thursday, June 26, 2025

The Reserves Used For


What Are The Reserves Used For?

What Are The Reserves Used For?

What Are The Reserves Used For?

what are reserves used for? 


Provides support in times of crisis  

The reserves ensure that Singapore can respond decisively during crises without compromising essential services and incurring debt for future generations. For example:

During the Global Financial Crisis, we drew on Past Reserves to subsidise employees’ wage bills and improve companies’ access to credit.

In our fight against COVID-19, the Government drew about $40 billion from Past Reserves for COVID-19 response measures across FY2020 to FY2022. By tapping on the reserves, the Government was able to fund public health measures as well as economic and social support measures, to save lives and protect livelihoods.

The ability to tap our reserves in a sustainable manner is a significant financial advantage for Singapore. Our situation is quite unlike that in many countries that have to service their debts and other liabilities from their budgets on an annual basis, and consequently either raise taxes or engage in further borrowings so as to service current borrowings.


The few other countries where Governments are able to derive a revenue stream for public spending are typically those with substantial reserves of natural resources such as oil.


when did singapore tapped on its past reserves


Watch this CNA documentary for a first-hand account of the decision-making process behind the two rare occasions that the Singapore government tapped on Past Reserves.



 


Will the Government return the $40 billion drawn from the Reserves drawn during COVID-19 pandemic?


Contributes to public spending

The reserves support Singapore’s current spending needs through its contribution to the annual Budget. About 20% of annual Government spending is funded by the investment returns on our reserves through the Net Investment Returns Contribution (NIRC). Since FY2020, the NIRC has provided an annual revenue stream of about 3.5% of GDP on average. For the financial year which ended on 31 March 2024, the NIRC was about $22.92 billion.


The investment returns from our reserves provide additional resources for Government spending to benefit Singaporeans. This includes Government investments in education, healthcare, transport infrastructure, R&D and other areas to improve our living environment and to grow our economy.


net investment returns contributions nirc


Today, the NIRC is one of Singapore’s largest sources of Government revenue for annual spending. At the same time, there have been calls to increase the NIRC, above the present spending limit of 50% of the annual investment returns.


The NIRC framework is part of a larger sustainable fiscal system.


The framework balances between the needs of today and tomorrow. It underscores the Government’s commitment to continue growing our reserves, while allowing the Government to tap on part of the investment income for current spending.


If we spend more from NIRC today, we would effectively be reducing the reserves available for future use, which might result in higher taxes in the future or reduced expenditure for our future needs.


 


Serves as a financial anchor

As Singapore is a small and highly open economy, inflation and aggregate demand are more significantly influenced by the exchange rate rather than interest rates. Singapore’s monetary policy framework, conducted by MAS, is thus centred on managing the exchange rate of the Singapore Dollar against a basket of currencies within a policy band.


The reserves enable MAS to conduct monetary policy and secure macroeconomic stability, by defending the value of the Singapore Dollar from major fluctuations. This helps to protect the purchasing power of Singaporean households and businesses, maintain investor confidence in Singapore’s exchange rate-centred financial system, and secure macroeconomic stability.


Understand more: Net Investment Returns Contribution (NIRC)


The annual Net Investment Returns Contribution (NIRC) amount is published in the Government's annual Budget. NIRC comprises:


Up to 50% of the Net Investment Returns (NIR) on the net assets invested by GIC, MAS, and Temasek; and

Up to 50% of the Net Investment Income (NII) derived from past reserves from the remaining assets.

The NII Framework was introduced in 2001 to protect at least 50% of actual net investment income. NII refers to the actual dividends, interest and other income received from investing our reserves, as well as interest received from loans, after deducting expenses arising from raising, investing and managing the reserves.


The NIR framework was subsequently introduced in 2008, which allowed the Government to spend up to 50% of the expected long-term real return (including capital gains) on the relevant assets. The expected long-term real rate of return (ELTRROR) refers to the investment rate of return that can be expected to be earned over the long term, after netting off inflation. The expected rates of return are based on the judgement of experienced investment professionals in the investment entities.


Spending up to 50% of the expected returns strikes a balance between current and future needs. It allows us to take in some investment returns for spending, while continuing to grow our reserves.

Relevant assets are defined in the Constitution as the net assets invested by GIC, MAS, and Temasek, minus the liabilities of the Government (which include Singapore Government Securities and Special Singapore Government Securities). This ensures that we set aside returns to cover the costs of servicing our liabilities.

The NIR component was an enhancement in the following ways:


Expanded the definition of investment returns to total returns, including capital gains (both realised and unrealised). This is more aligned with our asset allocation that is focused on maximising total returns over the long term. A spending rule based only on interest and dividends could have led to a bias toward investments that generate income rather than capital gains. This would be inconsistent with our objective of maintaining a diversified investment portfolio aimed at achieving long-term returns.

Long-term expected rates of return (rather than year-on-year actual returns, comprising dividends and interest, under the NII component) rates of return are used used to smooth out the volatility of Government spending. For example, it ensures that the Government does not overspend in a bull market, and end up finding itself short of resources in a bear market.

Real rates of return, i.e., net of inflation, (rather than nominal returns), are used to protect the purchasing power of our reserves. Otherwise, in a scenario of sustained high inflation globally, even if we were to earn reasonable nominal investment returns, our past reserves would be gradually eroded in real terms.

spending framework


Together, the NIRC enhances revenues and ensures a fair balance between current and future needs.


Process to Determine the ELTRROR


Are we "over-saving"?


Holds our Land Bank

Land is scarce in Singapore, and it is our main natural resource. It is thus protected as part of the reserves.


Our Past Reserves are used to fund land-related projects such as land reclamation and the creation of underground space2 like the Jurong Rock Cavern as well as specific land acquisition projects like Selective En-bloc Redevelopment Scheme (SERS)3. This is a form of asset conversion, from a financial asset to a physical asset. The land created or acquired forms part of our State land holdings and is protected as Past Reserves. Further, when such land is subsequently sold, the proceeds accrue fully to Past Reserves to ensure that there is no draw on Past Reserves.


Spending from Land Sale Proceeds


When is State land considered disposed?


Why is it important for State land to be sold at fair market value?


Financing Climate Action


Guarantee CPF Interest Rates

CPF monies are invested by the CPF Board (CPFB) in Special Singapore Government Securities (SSGS) that are issued and guaranteed by the Singapore Government. This arrangement assures that CPFB will be able to pay its members all their monies when due, and the interest that it commits to pay on CPF accounts.


This is a solid guarantee. The Singapore Government is one of the few remaining triple-A credit-rated governments in the world. To elaborate:


The Government is in a strong net asset position, i.e. its assets far exceed its liabilities (CPF liabilities in the form of SSGS are a part of these liabilities). The strong net asset position can be seen from the NIRC that is available for spending on the Government Budget. Over the past five years, the NIRC has provided an average revenue stream of about 3.5% of GDP per annum.

What this means is that even after deducting all the Government's liabilities, the remaining net assets produce significant returns. The NIRC is drawn from returns on assets in excess of the liabilities, and is not the returns on gross assets. Further, as stipulated in the Constitution, the NIRC recorded in the Government Budget only comprises up to 50% of the expected returns on the reserves. The NIRC figures are submitted to the President's Office and audited by the Auditor-General's Office.

If the Government's assets had not been adequate to meet its liabilities, there would have been no contribution from the investment returns on reserves in the Government Budget.

No CPF monies go towards government spending. Government borrowings from Singapore Government Securities (SGS) and SSGS cannot be used to fund expenditures. Under the Government Securities Act (enacted in 1992), the monies raised from SGS and SSGS cannot be spent.


These funds are comingled together with other sources of government funds (e.g., unencumbered assets5 such as government surpluses and land sales receipts) and deposited with MAS as government deposits.


In the process of conducting monetary policy, MAS may convert these funds into foreign assets through the foreign exchange market, accumulating foreign assets in the form of official foreign reserves (OFR), in order to moderate the appreciation of the Singapore dollar exchange rate. Excess OFR above what MAS requires to conduct monetary policy and ensure financial stability are ultimately transferred to GIC to be managed over a longer investment horizon, providing backing for longer-term Government liabilities like SSGS.


This CNA documentary explains how Singapore’s reserves guarantee CPF interest rates.



 


Understand more: Which investment entity invests CPF monies?


Are MAS and Temasek involved?


Understand more: How CPF interest rates are determined


Footnotes

[2] Past Reserves are used to fund only expenditure directly related to the creation of land, but not for the construction of infrastructure on the land. 

[3] Past Reserves are used to fund only the land component of the total compensation of the acquisition costs.

[4] These include land reclamation projects, building of infrastructure such as polders and seawalls, and the installation of equipment like pumps and localised flood barriers.

[5] Unencumbered assets refer to assets which are not matched to any liabilities. The Government has large, unencumbered assets, which are not matched to liabilities. These assets were accumulated through past government surpluses, land sales receipts and the investment income earned on those assets over the years.